Monday, June 20, 2016

India Opens Door for Apple Retail With New Foreign Investment Rules - Fortune

India Opens Door for Apple Retail With New Foreign Investment Rules - Fortune: "Under new investment rules, foreign retailers exempt from 30% local sourcing for three years.
Apple could open its first stores in India and might eventually start manufacturing in the country under new foreign investment rules for retailers outlined Monday.
The new rules exempt foreign retailers for three years from a requirement to source 30% of the goods sold in company-owned stores locally."



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Friday, June 10, 2016

76 million Americans are struggling financially or just getting by - Jun. 10, 2016

76 million Americans are struggling financially or just getting by - Jun. 10, 2016: "The Fed survey highlights many of Americans' continuing economic worries. Some 46% of adults say they can't cover an unexpected $400 expense or would have borrow or sell something to do so."



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Friday, June 3, 2016

Employers in U.S. Add 38,000 Workers, Fewest in Almost Six Years - Bloomberg

Employers in U.S. Add 38,000 Workers, Fewest in Almost Six Years - Bloomberg: "Employers in May added the fewest number of workers in almost six years, reflecting broad cutbacks that may raise concern about U.S. growth and prompt Federal Reserve policy makers to put off an increase in interest rates.
The addition of 38,000 workers, the fewest since September 2010, followed a 123,000 advance in April that was smaller than previously estimated, a Labor Department report showed Friday. The increase in May was less than the most pessimistic forecast in a Bloomberg survey. "



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US borrowers are paying more and for longer on their auto loans

US borrowers are paying more and for longer on their auto loans: "Average auto loan: $30,032 — the first time the amount borrowed to buy a new vehicle has topped $30,000.


New car, new reality: Auto loan borrowing hits fresh highs
Average monthly payment: $503 — the first time the average auto payment has gone over the $500 mark.

Average term for an auto loan: 68 months — this is the longest average term ever seen by Experian."



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Jamie Dimon just sounded the alarm on auto loans

Jamie Dimon just sounded the alarm on auto loans: "In May, the total amount of auto loans cracked the $1 trillion mark for the first time, marking a 10 percent increase. It comes as auto sales have hovered around record highs.

At more than $30,000, the average auto loan for a new car is also at an all-time high, according to Experian. Also, at more than $500, the average monthly auto loan payment is at a record."



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Thursday, June 2, 2016

ECB Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged, Will Start Corporate Bond Purchases On June 8 | Zero Hedge

ECB Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged, Will Start Corporate Bond Purchases On June 8 | Zero Hedge: "The ECB also said that on 8 June the Eurosystem will start making purchases under its corporate sector purchase programme (CSPP)."



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ISM New York Collapses To 7-Year Lows | Zero Hedge

ISM New York Collapses To 7-Year Lows | Zero Hedge: "ISM New York's purchasing managers survey collapsed in May from 57.00 to 37.2 - the lowest since April 2009. The bloodbath is the biggest monthly drop since May 2007. While 'hope' rose rather stunningly from 56.0 to 68.0 - the highest in years, current employment and 'quantity of purchases' both plunged to cycle lows.

"



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Bill Gross Explains Why He Is Now Shorting Credit | Zero Hedge

Bill Gross Explains Why He Is Now Shorting Credit | Zero Hedge: "Gross' conclusion:

The “fact of the matter” – to use a politician’s phrase – is that “carry” in any form appears to be very low relative to risk.  The same thing goes with stocks and real estate or any asset that has a P/E, cap rate, or is tied to present value by the discounting of future cash flows. To occupy the investment market’s future “penthouse”, today’s portfolio managers – as well as their clients, must begin to look in another direction. Returns will be low, risk will be high and at some point the “Intelligent Investor” must decide that we are in a new era with conditions that demand a different approach. Negative durations? Voiding or shorting corporate credit? Buying instead of selling volatility? Staying liquid with large amounts of cash? These are all potential “negative” carry positions that at some point may capture capital gains or at a minimum preserve principal.
 
But because an investor must eat something as the appropriate reversal approaches, the current penthouse room service menu of positive carry alternatives must still be carefully scrutinized to avoid starvation. That means accepting some positive carry assets with the least amount of risk. Sometime soon though, as inappropriate monetary policies and structural headwinds take their toll, those delicious “carry rich and greasy” French fries will turn cold and rather quickly get tossed into the garbage can. Bon Appetit!"



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Mario Draghi Explains Why 'Buying Corporate Bonds As Well' Will Work This Time - ECB Press Conference Live Feed | Zero Hedge

Mario Draghi Explains Why 'Buying Corporate Bonds As Well' Will Work This Time - ECB Press Conference Live Feed | Zero Hedge: "With rates left unchanged - deep in NIRP-land - amid an increasingly fragile banking system (see Italian bank stocks), we expect ECB chief Mario Draghi to reassure an anxious public how well QE is working (despite weak growth and tumbling PMIs), how great negative rates are for stimulating 'something' despite inflation's drift lower, and how his about-to-be-launched corporate bond buying bonanza will really solve the problems of the world (by enabling firms to lever up even more and buyback more stock?).

"



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Private companies (Waiters, Bartenders and Clerks) added 173K jobs in May vs.175K estimate

Private companies added 173K jobs in May vs.175K estimate: ADP: "Moreover, the gains came entirely from the service sector, which added 175,000 positions. Goods-producing companies actually lost 1,000 jobs (ADP rounds its figures, creating a discrepancy from the final number). Manufacturing subtracted 3,000 jobs."



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House flipping heats up, creating 'home price pressure cooker'

House flipping heats up, creating 'home price pressure cooker': "It's like birthing a baby. ... If you're overpriced, you're dead in the water."
-Dana Rice, real estate agent and home flipper"



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OPEC showdown: Oil ministers meet, at odds over strategy - Saudi Arabia and Iran - Pro and Anti USA agendas

OPEC showdown: Oil ministers meet, at odds over strategy: "OPEC is not expected to cut or freeze oil production levels at the meeting – ideas that failed to find unanimous support at its last meeting in Doha in April. Hopes of a deal were dashed after Iran – an OPEC member that is trying to revive its oil industry after years of economic sanctions – refused outright to consider a freeze.

Abdalla Salem el-Badri, Secretary General of OPEC told CNBC as the meeting got underway on Thursday that for the first time in many months there was a "very positive" atmosphere among the cartel's members, however.
He said he was pleased with the way the oil market was recovering - now close to $50 per barrel.

Meanwhile Saudi Arabia's energy minister Khalid al-Falih told Reuters the country was concerned over low oil prices, but that the market was doing well. "We will not shock the market," he said, adding that the market was rebalancing.

The meeting comes amid tensions between OPEC members nevertheless.

Iran's brake on a Doha deal angered OPEC's de facto leader Saudi Arabia and further damaged relations between the Middle Eastern rivals but there was talk this week that Saudi Arabia could be trying to revive formal output targets, with Iran's oil minister rejecting the idea yet again. "An output ceiling has no benefit to us," Bijan Zanganeh told reporters in Vienna on Wednesday, reiterating Iran's call for individual country quotas."









OPEC refrained from changing its oil output policy on Thursday, meaning the organization failed to agree on a new production ceiling, an OPEC delegate told Reuters.
Two delegates also said Nigerian candidate Mohammed Barkindo was chosen to be OPEC's new secretary-general.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries last decided to change output in December 2008, and for oil-price hawks such as Iran, fears are growing that the 56-year-old OPEC is losing its role as a production-setting cartel and turning into a talking shop.
This is a breaking news story. Please check back for further updates.
The world's most powerful oil producing group is meeting in Vienna on Thursday but mounting tensions between the 13 members of the producer group – and the differing economic needs of each country – are expected to stymy any deal on output which could support oil prices.
OPEC ministers arriving at the organization's headquarters in the Austrian capital on Thursday appeared to be at odds over what the bloc's next move should be. While some such as Kuwait and Qatar appeared to lean towards the Saudi Arabian way of thinking - agreeing on the need for an output ceiling - others such as Venezuela and Algeria seemed to agree with Iran, which said an output ceiling must be accompanied by a country-specific quota system.
Other oil ministers, such as Nigeria's, called for open-minded discussion and unity - something that has been in short supply at previous meetings.
OPEC is not expected to cut or freeze oil production levels at the meeting – ideas that failed to find unanimous support at its last meeting in Doha in April. Hopes of a deal were dashed after Iran – an OPEC member that is trying to revive its oil industry after years of economic sanctions – refused outright to consider a freeze.
Abdalla Salem el-Badri, Secretary General of OPEC told CNBC as the meeting got underway on Thursday that for the first time in many months there was a "very positive" atmosphere among the cartel's members, however.
He said he was pleased with the way the oil market was recovering - now close to $50 per barrel.
Meanwhile Saudi Arabia's energy minister Khalid al-Falih told Reuters the country was concerned over low oil prices, but that the market was doing well. "We will not shock the market," he said, adding that the market was rebalancing.
The meeting comes amid tensions between OPEC members nevertheless.
Iran's brake on a Doha deal angered OPEC's de facto leader Saudi Arabia and further damaged relations between the Middle Eastern rivals but there was talk this week that Saudi Arabia could be trying to revive formal output targets, with Iran's oil minister rejecting the idea yet again. "An output ceiling has no benefit to us," Bijan Zanganeh told reporters in Vienna on Wednesday, reiterating Iran's call for individual country quotas.

OPEC showdown

A worker checks the valve of an oil pipe at Nahr Bin Umar oil field, north of Basra, Iraq December 21, 2015.
Essam Al-Sudani | Reuters
A worker checks the valve of an oil pipe at Nahr Bin Umar oil field, north of Basra, Iraq December 21, 2015.
Within the OPEC group, poorer producers have also struggled to make wealthier Gulf members, who have been able to weather lower oil prices better, change course. Those differences over OPEC's strategy were evident on Thursday.
United Arab Emirates Oil Minister Suhail bin Mohammed al-Mazroui told CNBC on Thursday that his country was ready to discuss a production cap "provided that everyone is participating."
"All of those who went to Doha were interested in principle and whether we achieve it or not is subject for discussion when we meet in the closed session."
Aside from Iran's refusal to budge over output, tensions between OPEC members have been growing steadily since November 2014. Then, OPEC decided to keep on pumping oil at record levels despite a drop in global oil prices. OPEC had an official production ceiling of 30 million barrels a day but the target was effectively abandoned in December, allowing members to pump freely and adding to a global glut in oil. 
The decision was seen as a strategy, led by Saudi Arabia, to retain market share in the face of rival non-OPEC producers but it has hurt the group's poorer members, the so-called "fragile five" (Venezuela, Nigeria, Libya, Algeria and Iraq) which have pleaded before for an OPEC output cut, to no avail.

Once bitten, twice shy

Oil prices have since started to recover as non-OPEC supply comes off the market, but whether OPEC can rebuild itself as a united organization in this meeting remains to be seen. 
Anas Al-Saleh, Kuwait's acting oil minister, told CNBC Thursday that he believed OPEC's strategy since 2014 had been "working well" and that oil markets were stabilizing. But his counterpart from Venezuela, Euologio del Pino, told CNBC that the group should be able to "adjust to the recovery of production of countries like Iran" and that new ideas should be considered.
"We're also looking at some new ideas - the possibility to have a supply-production range per country," he said, referencing the potential for a quota system as proposed by Iran.
Oil markets were lower after the news with Brent crude futures trading about 1.4 percent lower at $49.04 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude down about 1.7 percent at $48.17.

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Wednesday, June 1, 2016

May US auto sales seen down on 2 fewer selling days than year ago

May US auto sales seen down on 2 fewer selling days than year ago: "
Getty Images
The U.S. auto industry looks set to remain on course for another record year in 2016, even if new vehicle sales in May reported later on Wednesday come in worse than expected, analysts and economists said.

General Motors plunged 18 percent in the month. Sales were seen dropping 13.1 percent by Edmunds and 8 percent by TrueCar.
Ford Motor said sales fell 5.9 percent. The automaker's May sales were seen down 3 percent by Edmunds and 5 percent by TrueCar. F-series truck sales were up 9 percent in the month."



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