Monday, May 2, 2011

Fed Releases New POMO Schedule: To Monetize Only $97 Billion In Bonds Through May 11th







And now the one all the Fed frontrunners have been waiting for... (with a 40 minute NYU intern induced delay)
Across all operations in the schedule listed below, the Desk plans to purchase approximately $97 billion.  This represents $80 billion in purchases of the announced $600 billion purchase program and $17 billion in purchases associated with principal payments from agency debt and agency MBS expected to be received between mid-April and mid-May.
As we had expected, the QE Lite component ($17 billion) is plunging due to a substantial halt in MBS prepays with the Fed. Time to lower our estimate even further on how much the Fed will monetize simply from rolling maturities and MBS prepays.
Operation Date1Settlement DateOperation Type2Maturity
Range
Expected Purchase Size
April 13, 2011April 14, 2011Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase10/15/2012-09/30/2013$4 - $6 billion
April 14, 2011April 15, 2011Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase05/15/2018-02/15/2021$6 - $8 billion
April 15, 2011April 18, 2011Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase04/30/2015-09/30/2016$5 - $7 billion
April 18, 2011April 19, 2011Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase08/15/2028-02/15/2041$1.5 - $2.5 billion
April 19, 2011April 20, 2011Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase10/31/2013-03/31/2015$5 - $7 billion
April 20, 2011April 21, 2011Outright TIPS Purchase04/15/2013-02/15/2041$1 - $2 billion
April 25, 2011April 26, 2011Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase10/31/2016-03/31/2018$6 - $8 billion
April 26, 2011April 27, 2011Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase05/15/2021-11/15/2027$1.5 - $2.5 billion
April 28, 2011April 29, 2011Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase04/30/2015-09/30/2016$5 - $7 billion
April 29, 2011May 2, 2011Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase10/31/2013-03/31/2015$5 - $7 billion
May 2, 2011May 3, 2011Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase05/15/2018-02/15/2021$6 - $8 billion
May 3, 2011May 4, 2011Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase11/15/2016-05/02/2018$6 - $8 billion
May 4, 2011May 5, 2011Outright TIPS Purchase04/15/2013-02/15/2041$1 - $2 billion
May 5, 2011May 6, 2011Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase08/15/2028-02/15/2041$1.5 - $2.5 billion
May 6, 2011May 9, 2011Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase11/15/2013-04/30/2015$5 - $7 billion
May 9, 2011May 10, 2011Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase05/15/2018-02/15/2021$6 - $8 billion
May 10, 2011May 11, 2011Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase05/15/2015-10/31/2016$5 - $7 billion
May 11, 2011May 12, 2011Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase11/15/2016-05/02/2018$6 - $8 billion

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